[NL BSS Gold 4.12.] Strategie-Seminar: Barreling mit Bierbaer - Hände & Feeback

    • Bierbaer
      Bierbaer
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 27.05.2005 Beiträge: 7.989
      Hi,

      hier wie versprochen das Update des Contents:


      Leitfaden
      1. Überblick
      2. Beispiel
      3. Image & Metagame
      4. Generelle Faktoren
      5. Beispielhand


      2. Beispiel

      Hero (CO) 100BB
      Villain (BU) 100BB

      Hero has ??

      opponents fold, hero raises to 3bb, villain calls, 2 fold

      Flop (7.5bb)


      Mögliche Callingranges
      Villain tight [11.61%]:
      QQ-22, AJs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, AJo, Kjo+

      Villain "mittelloose"[16.74%]:
      QQ-22, ATs+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, AJo-ATo, KJo+, QJo, JTo

      Villain sehr loose [25.49%]:
      QQ-22, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, AJo-ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o, 98o


      Mögliche Flops:
      - Axx, z.B. Ac9h4s
      - Txx, z.B. Th7s4c
      - 8xx, z.B. 8c7s4h


      Beispielrechnung für tighten Villain:

      Erster Flop: Axx
      Spielt weiter mit [5.58%]:
      QQ-99, 44, AJs+, T9s, 98s, AJo, Kqo

      Somit (11.61-5.58)/11.61 = ~51.9% FEQ am Flop

      Turn: 2
      Equity verschiedener Hände vs Callingrange:

      Hero has AJ (TP)

      Board: 9:heart: 4:spade: A:club:  2:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     71.38%  65.26%   6.12% { AJs, AJo }
      BU     28.62%  22.50%   6.12% { QQ-99, 44, AJs+, T9s, 98s, AJo, KQo }


      Hero has T9s (2nd pair)

      Board: 9:heart: 4:spade: A:club:  2:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     31.39%  29.25%   2.14% { T9s }
      BU     68.61%  66.47%   2.14% { QQ-99, 44, AJs+, T9s, 98s, AJo, KQo }


      Hero has Kqs (Air / Khigh)

      Board: 9:heart: 4:spade: A:club:  2:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     11.43%   5.37%   6.06% { KQs }
      BU     88.57%  82.51%   6.06% { QQ-99, 44, AJs+, T9s, 98s, AJo, KQo }



      Zweiter Flop: Txx
      Spielt weiter mit [7.77%]:
      QQ-77, 44, AJs+, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, KhQh, KsQs, KcQc, KhJh, KsJs, KcJc, QhJh, QsJs, QcJc, Ajo

      Somit 33% FEQ

      Turns: A (Stellvertretend f. Highcard), 2 (Blank)

      A Turn:
      Maximale Range [4.68%]:
      QQ-99, 44, AJs+, T9s, 98s, AJo

      => ~40% FEQ.

      Best Case / minimale Range [2.7%]:
      99, 44, AJs+, Ajo

      => ~65% FEQ

      River
      Falls Gegner von minimaler Range 99, 44, AJs+, Ajo nur AJ foldet, bedeutet das:
      (2.7-1.51)/2.7 = 44% FEQ!

      Hat er die maximale Turnrange und callt den River nur mit Aqs+,99,44 bedeutet das:
      (4.68-1.51) / 4.68 = 67.7% FEQ!

      EV von Flop-, Turn- und Riverbet (Annahme: 0% PEQ)
      Brauchen 44% FEQ, haben 33%:

      Flop Th7s4c (7.5bb)
      (-6bb) + 13.5bb*0.33 = -1.55bb

      Turn Ad (20.5bb), hero bets bets 18bb
      (-18bb) + 38.5*0.4 [worst case Szenario] = -2.6bb

      River x (56.5bb) hero has 70bb left and bets 42bb
      (-42bb) + 98.5* 0.677 = +24.68bb

      => EV gesamt: (-1.55bb) + (-2.6bb) + 24.68bb = +20.53bb

      => 2 leichte -EV Bets haben extremen +EV Spot generiert.



      5. Beispielhand

      Gegner: 20/0, nur 10 Hände

      $1 NL - Holdem - 9 players

      LP: $100.00
      CO: $59.15
      BTN: $234.10
      SB: $122.90
      BB: $120.55
      Hero (UTG): $100.00
      UTG+1: $136.45
      MP: $116.25
      MP+1: $196.70

      SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00

      Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero has J:heart: A:club:

      Hero raises to $3.00, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $3.00, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) 5:club: 9:spade: 3:diamond:
      Hero bets $4.00, CO calls $4.00

      Turn: ($15.50, 2 players) K:spade:
      Hero bets $10.85, CO calls $10.85

      River: ($37.20, 2 players) 7:club:
      Hero bets $26.00



      Annahme:
      Callingrange preflop [17.35%]:
      22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, J8s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AQo+, KQo, QJo, JTo, T9o

      Callingrange Flop[10.26%]:
      55+, AQs+, J9s, T9s, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AQo+, T9o

      => 41% FEQ.

      Und: 20% PEQ.

      Callingrange Turn[6.94%]:
      99+, 33, 55, AKs, J9s, T9s, 97s+, AKo, T9o

      => 37% FEQ, 6% PEQ

      Callingrange River[3.47%]
      KK+, 99, 55, 33, AKs, Ako

      => 50% FEQ

      Somit EV (ohne PEQ):
      Flop: (-$4) + 0.41 * $11.5 = $0.72

      Turn: (-$10.85) + 0.37 * $26.35 = -$1.1

      River: (-$26) + 0.5 * $63.2 = $5.6

      EV Gesamt: $0.72 – $1.1 + $5.6 = +$5.22

      => 2nd Barrel trotz Scarecard -EV!
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