Propbet - Link-thread - Neu: 1 Mil VPPs in 111 Tagen - profit pre rb - 1:1 odds

    • Kreatief
      Kreatief
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 28.01.2006 Beiträge: 13.896
      Da es immer wieder gute propbets gibt, for allem auf 2+2 und die nicht jeder direkt sieht, wäre es schön einen Thread zu haben, in dem diese verlinkt werden können, damit man keine verpasst.

      Ich fange mal an:

      Laufende Propbets:

      Aktuell keine bekannte

      Potentielle Propbets

      • jdawg91 - 1 Mil VPPs in 111 Tagen - profit pre rb - 1:1 odds

        Original von jdawg91
        Would be quite simple, 1:1 odds and would need to play 25,000+ 25bb 6max hypers at $60+ stakes in October and profit pre RB. Hyper sats would count as 0.5 games per game ($56s will count towards the bet btw, 37.50s wont tho i don't ever play those anymore) played if I happened to play any (very likely i will on sundays and any time traffic is good); I get 5 games/hr/tbl at 6m 25bb (so 12 tabling I get 60 games/hr) and 8 games/hr/tbl at 10bb hyper satellits (so 12 tabling I get 96 games/hr). We would use my timezone (pacific US time) so that we could compare HM2 and Sharkscope to check results; obv will get audit if the numbers are off. Obv normal prop rules (I'll post 'official' rules if it ends up getting interest), if I am up pre RB at any point past game # 25,000 total (hyper sat/25bb combined), I have won the bet. Will plan to create a skype group for all bettors and bettors can skype video call me 2x a day (as a group, not each individual) to confirm its me playing live as I will not be streaming bc of my internet woes here in Mexico


        http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showpost.php?p=44719677&postcount=409

        Es wird wohl noch einen offiziellen Thread geben, wenn genug Interesse zusammen kommt.


      Abgeschlossene Propbets

      • YaAaRnY - 100 BIs in 31 Tagen PLO1k+ - $300.000 3:1

        Regeln
        - min profit: 10.000bb pre rakeback
        - stakes: 5/10+
        - Zeit: 31 Tage
        - Gameart: regular, zoom, deep ante
        - Nicht erlaubt: HU
        - Mindestanzahl hands: 70.000
        - Odds: 2:1 für YaAaRnY
        - action: 200k gegen 100k von YaAaRnY

        http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/153/high-stakes-pl-omaha/100-buy-ins-31-days-prop-bet-300k-started-august-23-live-now-1456716/

        Ergebnis

        YaAaRnY hat es nicht geschafft. Peak waren wohl um die 80 Stacks. In den letzten beiden Tagen hat er aber wohl hart gegambelt und super deep PLO1k gespielt. In einer Hand hat er da z.B. 12 Stacks verloren. Da durch die gigantische Standardabweichung von 280bb die Varianz riesig wird, war das aber wohl durchaus sinnvoll, um die zu dem Zeitpunkt fehlenden ca. 40 Stacks zu gewinnen. Am Ende stand er sogar wohl bei -1 BI.






      Abgesagte Propbets

  • 18 Antworten
    • FaLLout86
      FaLLout86
      Coach
      Coach
      Dabei seit: 22.02.2005 Beiträge: 6.450
      Kann den Livestream nicht sehen da gema jemand nen Link der geht?

      Ansonsten hier noch sein YT - Chanel:
      https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLNWyduFVhxjj0r1tPrE_-A
    • Speckftw
      Speckftw
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Dabei seit: 20.03.2008 Beiträge: 3.574
      Hmm... Aus 3k 20 Millionen klingt schwierig.

      Würde wohl dagegen betten, wenn ich Moniez hätte.
    • Taaco
      Taaco
      Gold
      Dabei seit: 09.11.2011 Beiträge: 5.639
      joeys playmoney stream:

      http://www.twitch.tv/chicagojoeypoker
    • buschips
      buschips
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Dabei seit: 25.10.2010 Beiträge: 13.466
      Poker Stars $10000/$20000 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      stacefacey (): $9511300.00
      rocke7 (): $3476900.00
      JoeIngram1 (): $10910800.00
      fredmo (): $3945100.00
      vger4 (): $2848300.00
      first52dan (): $1450900.00

      Pre Flop: ($30000.00)
      3 folds, stacefacey raises to $80000, rocke7 calls $70000, JoeIngram1 raises to $10910800 all in, stacefacey calls $9431300 all in, rocke7 calls $3396900 all in

      Flop: ($22499500.00) K :diamond: 9 :club: 9 :heart: (3 players - 3 are all in)

      Turn: ($22499500.00) 8 :spade: (3 players - 3 are all in)

      River: ($22499500.00) 9 :diamond: (3 players - 3 are all in)

      Final Pot: $22499500.00
      stacefacey shows A :heart: A :diamond: (a full house, Nines full of Aces)
      JoeIngram1 shows A :spade: K :heart: (a full house, Nines full of Kings)
      stacefacey wins $12068800.00
      stacefacey wins $10380700.00
      (Rake: $50000.00)



      15k$ "Flip" 30min. vor Ende. 60min. vor Ende war er noch bei 1mio. :D
      Urinflasche war auch am Start.
    • mendouz
      mendouz
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 01.01.2007 Beiträge: 675
      gg joey^^
    • Teaef
      Teaef
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 27.03.2010 Beiträge: 531
      Check einfach nicht, wie man da für drölftausend BB und 15k$ mit AK einfach shippern kann.

      Aber bester Mann.War gute Unterhaltung!


      Hoffe er kriegt bisschen Rakeback :coolface:
    • Kreatief
      Kreatief
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 28.01.2006 Beiträge: 13.896

      Neue Propbet incoming? Fedor aka crownupguy (hier im Forum) möchte 850k VPP in 85 Tagen erreichen.

      In den OP eingefügt.

      EDIT: Yaarny steht bei etwa 65 BI und hat noch bis zum 23. Zeit. Die 70k hands hat er locker erreicht (Zur Zeit ca 150k hands). Er swingt massiv (60 und 40 stack swings sind enthalten, 20 BI swings sind total normal bei ihm). Werden spannende letzte Tage.
    • Taaco
      Taaco
      Gold
      Dabei seit: 09.11.2011 Beiträge: 5.639
      yaarny hat auch neben dem grind mal eben 55k im wcoop 27 geschnappt
    • Kreatief
      Kreatief
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 28.01.2006 Beiträge: 13.896
      Bet scheint vorbei zu sein :(


      Original von YaAaRnY
      finished on -1 gg


      Peak war wohl um die 80BIs.


      PokerStars, Omaha Pot Limit - $5/$10 ($2 ante) - 5 players

      MiPwnYa (UTG): $1371.70 (137 bb)
      lautie (MP): $11982.22 (1198 bb)
      Cobus83 (BU): $5068.99 (507 bb)
      fjutekk (SB): $3842.03 (384 bb)
      YaAaRnY (BB): $22838.77 (2284 bb)

      Pre Flop: ($25)
      MiPwnYa (UTG) raises to $45, lautie (MP) calls $45, Cobus83 (BU) calls $45, fjutekk (SB) calls $40, YaAaRnY (BB) 3-bets to $280, 1 fold, lautie (MP) calls $235, Cobus83 (BU) calls $235, fjutekk (SB) calls $235

      Flop: ($1175) 3:diamond: 6:club: 9:diamond: (4 players)
      fjutekk (SB) checks, YaAaRnY (BB) bets $920, lautie (MP) raises to $3932, 2 folds, YaAaRnY (BB) 3-bets to $11550, lautie (MP) 4-bets to $11700.22 (all-in), YaAaRnY (BB) calls $150.22

      Turn: ($24575.44) 5:club: (2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: ($24575.44) 3:spade: (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: $24575.44 (Rake: $3)

      Showdown:
      YaAaRnY (BB) shows 3:heart: T:diamond: T:spade: A:diamond: (three of a kind, Threes)
      (pre: 58%, flop: 32%, turn: 20%, river: 0%)

      lautie (MP) shows 6:diamond: 6:spade: 7:diamond: K:spade: (a full house, Sixes full of Threes)
      (pre: 42%, flop: 68%, turn: 80%, river: 100%)

      lautie (MP) wins $24572.44
    • Kreatief
      Kreatief
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 28.01.2006 Beiträge: 13.896
      Bet over ;(

      Original von YaAaRnY
      :heart: you guys!!


      Thanks to joey for making it more entertaining , Was a fun 31 days , nice to see so much action! Also nice to get my life back :p

      I lost because of discipline , preparation, and playing poorly , I think the volume and pressure got to me and effected my game.

      Will post graphs and stakes etc tomoro, was lucky enough to run like god at 25/50 and wcoop so I'm not too gutted! :heart:


      (Quelle: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showpost.php?p=44697131&postcount=2677)

      gg
    • Kreatief
      Kreatief
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 28.01.2006 Beiträge: 13.896
      Original von YaAaRnY






      not sure how to do stakes but

      70k hands lost 51k at 5/10 ev adjusted was 21k ,
      +21k over 23khands at 5/10 zoom ev +17
      +800$ at 10/20 ev adjusted +13k
      lost 8k at 10/20 zoom ev +15k 22k hands
      won 160k at 25/50 ev adjusted +4k :p 15k hands
      lost 11k at 50/10 ev -2k 600 hands


      ended up 111k, + 55k wcoop + 40k rakeback - 100k sidebet so little over 100k .



      Original von guimz
    • lego
      lego
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 08.03.2005 Beiträge: 5.823
      fml
    • Teaef
      Teaef
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 27.03.2010 Beiträge: 531
      Bin dann mal PLO lernen :s_love:
    • Kreatief
      Kreatief
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 28.01.2006 Beiträge: 13.896
      Neue potentielle propbet im OP
    • TJay68
      TJay68
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 29.01.2012 Beiträge: 1.370
      Ich hol den Thread mal wieder hoch.

      Evt. nächste Propbet von Yaaarny :f_love:

      I miss you guys , any interest in betting against me attempting the urubu propbet, could start around jan 5th-10th.


      terms would be I have to play 500k hands in 45 days.

      lowest stake i can play is 2/4 but everything above inc zoom, but I have to have a +1bb winrate , think it makes it harder than urubu's.

      odds 2/1 , would wager 100k.

      judges and rules would all be sorted before etc .
      2+2 Thread
    • FaLLout86
      FaLLout86
      Coach
      Coach
      Dabei seit: 22.02.2005 Beiträge: 6.450
      thx 4 link.
      Jemand paar Gedanken dazu?

      Sieht auf den ersten Blick super tough aus
    • Sailor80
      Sailor80
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 05.10.2013 Beiträge: 1.386
      Habs nur kurz überflogen. Aber ~11k Hands pro Tag ist hart
    • buschips
      buschips
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Dabei seit: 25.10.2010 Beiträge: 13.466
      Timex propbet beat 500 NL Zoom
      Results: 46325 hands, -$11,335.49 (-4.89BB/100)

      As promised I'd deliver an update once this is done. During this I feel I ran quite awful- but that said even if I hadn't run bad I am likely still losing and I am virtually certain that my long-term win rate in these games is nowhere near as high as I would have expected. I'll write up this post assuming I ran at EV

      This challenge was a big motivator and also a pretty massive shot to the self-confidence after failing at it. While I'm inexperienced at NL cash, I generally consider myself a quick learner and was pretty motivated as I felt I was improving quite substantially say to day. I wasn't allowed to get coaching but was allowed to watch training videos etc.

      I started off losing quite substantially(something like 20BB/100 for the first 9-10k hands) and was fairly indifferent to this swing as I felt I was learning lots each session, working hard away from the tables and had 4-5 months to play. I then recovered to where I was +- a few buyins of even for a while and then eventually went on another downswing towards the end. Emotionally I was much more rattled by this than the first one. Initially I think I took on the approach of "well I was losing when playing less good and winning when playing better, now I can just improve even more and win easily" and then losing substantially when I felt I was playing my best was a pretty big shot to the ego.

      (tangent from assuming I ran at EV)- Looking at win rate and standard deviation it is something like 15% I'm a winning player and 3% I'm winning at over 3BB/100- this is far more relevant data than any of my other poker playing and after feeling that my learning was slowing down I started to think I'm likely not beating these games. I had until WSOP ME to play so I decided to take some time off and return to the games if I felt more motivated after a break for Monaco/Scoop etc.

      I wasn't particularly motivated and admitted defeat. I was losing more than the rake, some of the regs are very good but plenty of them seem extremely bad and there seem to be enough fish in the game to make games fairly beatable even without being one of the best players in the player pool. I'm probably just a fair bit worse at 6max NLHE than I expected
      http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showpost.php?p=47411589&postcount=341