EV Rechnung für einen Semibluff

    • Kiirby
      Kiirby
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 16.04.2009 Beiträge: 1.184
      Hey ich habe eine kurze Frage:

      Stimmt diese Rechnung ??
      Ich bekomme so nie etwas negatives raus ....

      When you’re semi-bluffing all-in against one potential caller, the EV of your play is the following 3 things added up:

      1. (% he folds) * (pot size before you shove)
      2. (% he calls) * (your equity) * (pot size before you shove + the bet he called)
      3. (% he calls) * (his equity) * (- the bet you shoved)

      So here’s an example. Say there’s a $5 flop pot, my opponent bets $3, I shove to $14 (and he has me covered), he folds 55% of the time, and I have 35% equity when he calls. Here are the three parts:

      1. 0.55 * $8 = $4.40
      2. 0.45 * 0.35 * ($8 + $11) = $2.99
      3. 0.45 * 0.65 * (-$14) = -$4.10

      We add up $4.40 + $2.99 – $4.10 = $3.29, and that is what the EV of a shove would be in our example.
  • 4 Antworten
    • jukeboxheroo
      jukeboxheroo
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 31.01.2007 Beiträge: 3.184
      lol antwort später. nettes kleines problem chen
    • Bunkerer
      Bunkerer
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 09.08.2007 Beiträge: 2.085
      yap stimmt soweit.
    • Jimjamaica
      Jimjamaica
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 08.05.2006 Beiträge: 370
      Original von Kiirby
      Hey ich habe eine kurze Frage:

      Stimmt diese Rechnung ??
      Ich bekomme so nie etwas negatives raus ....

      When you’re semi-bluffing all-in against one potential caller, the EV of your play is the following 3 things added up:

      1. (% he folds) * (pot size before you shove)
      2. (% he calls) * (your equity) * (pot size before you shove + the bet he called)
      3. (% he calls) * (his equity) * (- the bet you shoved)

      So here’s an example. Say there’s a $5 flop pot, my opponent bets $3, I shove to $14 (and he has me covered), he folds 55% of the time, and I have 35% equity when he calls. Here are the three parts:

      1. 0.55 * $8 = $4.40
      2. 0.45 * 0.35 * ($8 + $11) = $2.99
      3. 0.45 * 0.65 * (-$14) = -$4.10

      We add up $4.40 + $2.99 – $4.10 = $3.29, and that is what the EV of a shove would be in our example.
      liegt das daran, dass du im fall 3 rechnen musst -(pot size before you shove + the bet you shove)?
    • Kiirby
      Kiirby
      Bronze
      Dabei seit: 16.04.2009 Beiträge: 1.184
      Awww jetz hab ichs hatte einen Wert falsch :)
      trotzdem danke